Wednesday, November 4, 2020

Trump is in Trouble

Before I start, you should know I never did make it to the polls. I had to go out yesterday afternoon and went down the street where they were located but turned and drove past. I just couldn't do it, for the reason I cited in the link from yesterday. Do with that what you will.

I know I said I wasn't watching the coverage, but a little after 9 p.m. I went over and started watching Fox until 3 a.m. this morning and after getting 3 hours of sleep I am back up. When I first started tuning in they hadn't called Florida yet despite Trump leading, yet had already called Virginia for Biden despite him losing late into the night even after 50% of the vote was counted. 

That was my first clue.

As the night wore on I noticed how slow they were to call races where Trump was demonstrably ahead with over 90% reporting. They kept going over to Bill Hemmer, who kept showing us his interactive map and how Trump was doing better in so many Rust Belt states and openly wondering where and how Biden will get the votes there and in Georgia and North Carolina (for the record, I think the entire presentation has already been pre-arranged as they allegedly roll out the results within a certain range. Last night seemed to be an exercise in how you steal an election when the other guy wins in a landslide).

When the shit started to hit the fan is when the West Coast closed. The Fox Decision Desk immediately called California, Oregon and Washington for Biden and soon after called Arizona for Biden. It sat for a while until some started complaining that is was a quick call with millions of ballots still to be counted.

So who did Fox call out to explain all this? None other than Decision Desk Director Arnon Mishkin. Who is Arnon Mishkin? Well, in addition to being a member of the tribe he is also a registered Democrat who voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016. Bret Bair semi-grilled him about the calls and lack of calls in places like Texas (another slow call) and they were ALL LAUGHING about EVERYTHING! 

Then the BOOM. As they were discussing Arizona again, Mishkin said that Trump couldn't win Arizona despite a 1 million+ votes from those who cast same day votes at the polls were still not enough because that is what the MODELING SHOWS!

That's when I went UH-OH!

So the election narrative last night is being decided based on models, the same as the COVID fraud and lockdowns and we all know how wildly faulty those were. Trump lost Arizona because of what the models showed, not because of the actual vote counts.

That's what they call democracy and a representative Republic around here, and I'm now glad I didn't vote. Massachusetts was a foregone conclusion anyway. Hell, Biden stole the primary for Sanders and Warren back in March.

My main web source for the night was Zero Hedge, which I followed most of the night, and they were the first to report:

"WI (no way we're announcing tonight), MI (Friday), PA (no count anytime soon) and GA (biggest Dem county stopped counting, Trump leading by 300k)."

I also checked Jim Stone for cases of fraud:

"Trump has stated that he's going to the supreme court to cancel the vote count for all votes produced after the poll workers went home in violation of the constitution. He said he was not going to allow votes cast at 4AM to take the election away. He questioned why, when he was obviously winning that all the key states they refused to declare it and simultaneously stopped counting ballots and closed. Every other election was counted on election night, but THIS ONE is special, in all the key states the workers quit early and went home!!! So miracle ballots could appear by morning. EVEN THE MSM IS CALLING THIS UNCONSTITUTIONAL."

Not everything went to plan thanks to the American people, the stopping of the counts is unprecedented, and how many fraudulent ballots can the banks of DNC workers crank out overnight and over the next few days?

When I woke up at 6:30 a.m., the only reports on my blog roll regarding the election where these:


That comes from perhaps the greatest blogger of all up there and I would like to report some of her commentary now:

""They" did it.  "They" hung the election.  Looks like democracy is officially dead in the US.  When I went to bed it looked like Trump had won.  He had majorities in all the outstanding states not yet declared.  I woke up with a feeling of foreboding a couple of hours later and checked.  WoW.  The entire screen was frozen on Fox News that I'd be watching.  It was frozen at the same numbers that I'd seen before I turned it off. They knew they were losing and so they just stopped the entire thing.  Just like the shocked Trump said in the video above.  He called it a fraud outright.

God help America and God help us all."

I saw the speech live on Fox before I slowly faded away on the couch and agreed with him. 

Just because I didn't participate in the fraud doesn't mean I don't want a fair election and the voice of the American people obeyed. 

The top of my blog roll led with this:

That came from Uprooted Palestinians, so we understand the sentiment there but it doesn't change election results.

After having logged these items and comments, I check the blog roll again and find this:


"Organized leftist groups, including Democrats, Black Lives Matter, Antifa and many others are planning to lay siege to the White House and shut down Congress," and I just felt it was something you Need To Know.

I am looking forward to checking these sites later for their perspective, insight, and possible further information:



Henry Makow (awesome Twitter news feed there)








and of course, Zero Hedge.

In any event, you-know-who wins and there will be no report from the Boston Globe today.

One final thought to add: according to Fox, the rest of the election was static and an exercise in musical chairs. It looks like Democrats picked up Senate seats in Colorado and Arizona while losing them in Michigan (hint-hint) and Alabama, while Fox claimed Pelosi will increase her majority by 5 even as their House graph consistently showed Republicans in the lead.

If the rest of the election was status quo and yet Trump is found to have lost, you know it was stolen -- which reminds me, there were absolutely no reports of vote fraud or Russian interference, etc, all night long, and Americans are still being played.

{@@##$$%%^^&&}

MID-MORNING UPDATE:

My blog roll is not being updated in a timely fashion at all, something others have noticed. Sometimes it is hours before new posts are shown, with some skipped over completely.

Anyway, I see that the Winter Watch is doing a months worth of election coverage and is reporting:

"..... 

Wisconsin is coming in with a very tiny 0.7% Biden lead with 95% counted. This is an important tell even should Trump lose this state. Green Bay’s absentee ballot results are being delayed because one of the vote-counting machines ran out of ink. Looks like Biden wins by narrow margin.

In Michigan, there was a late absentee third world like ballot report out of Wayne County that could be ominous for Trump:  140k for Biden to 9k Trump. Wayne County only reporting at 67% at this hour so Biden likely to overcome in this state.

Voting reports in remaining battleground states with Democratic leadership is largely over for the night.

In Pennsylvania, about 6:00 AM EST Philadelphia just announced that the results of 65,000+ additional mail ballots in the city have been reported. They appear to have broken down roughly like this: ~61,000 for Biden ~3,900 for Trump. Goal posts of outstanding absentee ballots keeps moving and increasing into Wednesday. There have nine days to count these. Pennsylvania looks to determine the final outcome of who is President.

...."


I then went into the Trenches and found this massive update from Zero Hedge:

"Here Is The Latest On The Election" by Tyler Durden11/04/2020

Chaos. That's the best way to describe what has happened in the past 12 hours.

Initially Trump shocked pollsters - again - after winning Florida by a whopping 370K votes where a surge in Hispanic support crippled hopes for a Biden landslide, followed by wins in Ohio and Texas. The early momentum saw Trump's winning odds at online bookie Betfair surge as high as 80%. However, the momentum reversed after Biden managed to "flip" Arizona back to blue while the outcome remained unclear in six swing states — Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — all of which are still counting votes, and while we may get some final vote counts today, others could take a few days.

And so Biden leading Trump 238 to 213 for the electoral college, where a 270 total is needed...

... this is how close some of the key battleground races were as of Wednesday morning:

  • In Wisconsin, Trump's early lead fizzled as Milwaukee absentee ballots were counted, leading to a Democratic lead, and with 95% of the vote counted, Biden now has a razer-thin 21,000 vote lead.
  • The race in Michigan was razor thin as well, with Trump fractionally in the lead at 49.4%, vs 48.9% for Biden according to Edison Research, although Michigan's Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson said "hundreds of thousands of absentee ballots remain to be tabulated" and they will have a "much more complete picture" of Michigan’s results by end of the day.
  • Georgia saw Trump up by 102,000 with 94% of the vote counted by more votes expected to be counter from the Democratic stronghold of Atlanta.
  • North Carolina similarly saw Trump up by just under 80,000 votes with 94% of the vote counted, although like in Georgia much of the mailed-in ballots were outstanding.
  • Pennsylvania, a critical state for both candidates, saw Trump lead by 55.7% to 43.1%, but here too most of the metropolitan mailed-in votes were yet to be counted. Pennsylvania officials said they expect all votes to be counted by Friday.
  • Nevada had Biden up by only 8,000 with 67% of the vote tallied; Edison has reported that counting will not resume until noon ET on Thursday with outlets reports the candidates both on 49% with ~85% of votes tabulated.

Yet some pointed out a bizarre pick up in Michigan Biden votes, who picked up 138K votes without a single vote going to Trump:

Said otherwise, as the Federalist's Sean Davis notes, Democrats in Michigan "magically" found a trove of 138,339 votes, and all 138,339 of those "votes" magically went to Biden?

A similar odd jump took place in Wisconsin:

In any case, Biden needs to make continued progress in the likes of Pennsylvania (results possibly could be out as late as Friday), Michigan (results may be a few days) and Wisconsin (results could be out on Wednesday), although with most of the outstanding ballots mostly mail-ins, consensus is that they will favor Biden, because more Democrats than Republicans voted early this year. The question is will this be enough to flip Trump leads in key states.

As a result, Biden is now a 75% odds-on favorite to win the presidency at Betfair, a dramatic reversal from earlier when Trump was seen as an 80%-odds favorite. Why? Because if Biden holds onto his lead in Nevada and Wisconsin, he would need to win only one of three states — Georgia, Michigan or Pennsylvania — to secure a majority of electoral votes, and could still lose North Carolina.

Whether this reverses again in the coming hours will depend on the outcome of the mailed-in ballot vote count in key states like Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia and North Carolina. Incidentally, Fox decision desk guru just told Fox & Friends "he’d rather be Biden than Trump in Michigan and Wisconsin and that if Biden wins those states -- threw in Nevada for good measure -- Biden is the next president."

No matter the final outcome, Trump dramatically outperformed initial polling estimates, and even the NYT admits that "many of the state polls were wrong and underestimated support for Republicans — again." A big question in coming days according to the NYT will be "why: Did polls again fail to include enough working-class white voters, as was the case in 2016? Or was it something else?" (spoiler alert: it was something else, and it's called poll bias being constantly in the Democrats' favor).

It is also notable that Trump managed to improve his overall popular vote count by nearly 4 million from 2016, rising to 66.75 million versus 62.98 million, and as David Rosenberg puts it, Trump clearly has more than just a “base” supporting him. Or there are a lot of folks who feared a Blue Wave/move to the left. "America is never going socialist. That’s one message among many."

Meanwhile, Biden has not made as much progress in key areas as was expected, while the loss of Hispanic support in Florida should serve as a major warning for Democrats, with even the NYT admitting "Democrats struggled to match their 2016 margins among Hispanic voters" which hurt Biden, "especially in Florida and Texas."

* * *

The two candidates took to addressing the nation shortly after midnight, with Biden coming up first, and urging patience.

"We believe we’re on track to win this election,” he said. “We’re going to have to be patient until the hard work of tallying the votes is finished. And it ain’t over until every vote is counted, every ballot is counted."

This was followed by Trump at 2:30am when he declared himself the winner, and said he would call on the Supreme Court to stop counting ballots in states where he led, while urging more counting in states where he was behind. Trump also claimed “fraud” and he called the election an “embarrassment to the country."

Trump's declaration prompted the Pennsylvania Governor to warn that over 1 million mail-in-ballots are yet to have been counted.

At this point the "blue checkmarks" on Twitter lost it:

  • “This is an extremely flammable situation and the president just threw a match into it,” Chris Wallace said on Fox News, after Trump’s remarks. “He hasn’t won these states.
  • “Donald Trump called it a ‘fraud’ to continue to count votes. This does not sound like a democracy.” — Olivia Nuzzi, New York Magazine
  • “What Trump did tonight is shocking, even though he’s been telegraphing this for some time. He’s primed his supporters to believe any result that doesn’t involve him winning is fraud.” — Rosie Gray, BuzzFeed News
  • “Trump may indeed win. But he certainly hasn’t yet. And, he doesn’t get to say that your vote shouldn’t be counted.” — S.E. Cupp, CNN

And so on. The Biden campaign also countered that "the president’s statement tonight about trying to shut down the counting of duly cast ballots was outrageous, unprecedented, and incorrect."

* * *

While questions remain over the presidential race, things are much clearer in the Senate where the widely anticipated Blue Wave has crashed as hopes for a Democrat takeover fizzled, as Republicans now are in a strong position to retain Senate control, which would give them a veto over nearly all of a President Biden’s legislative plans, and collapsing hopes for a massive stimulus (which is also why the reflation trade is crashing and burning this morning, with tech stocks and Treasurys soaring).

According to the NYT, Democrats needed to win at least five of the 14 competitive Senate races and have so far won only two. Six races remain up in the air. The only incumbent Republicans to have lost are Martha McSally in Arizona and Cory Gardner in Colorado.

Finally, here are some of the notable state-ballot initiatives:

  • Florida voted to raise its minimum wage to $15 an hour by 2026, getting support from 61 percent of voters — which means that a large number of Floridians voted for both Trump and a big increase in the minimum wage.
  • Colorado’s proposed ban on late-term abortions did not pass.
  • New Jersey, South Dakota and Arizona voted to legalize recreational marijuana, and Oregon became the first state to decriminalize possessing a small amount of any street drug.
  • Mississippi voted to adopt a new state flag that does not feature the Confederate Battle Flag.
  • California voted to allow workers for companies like Uber or Lyft to be independent contractors, instead of employees, The Los Angeles Times reports.
And while one can debate if Trump or Biden was the winner, the biggest losers of the night were pollsters who once again showed their clear Democratic bias and prompted questions over whether this industry should even exist."

--MORE--"

{@@##$$%%^^&&}

MID-AFTERNOON UPDATE:


Nothing new there.


They gave felt pens to Trump voters and then disqualified the votes?




So that's how you steal a state!

"Trump Is Poised To Win The Election. Now He Has To Stop The Steal." 

by Revolver, November 4, 2020

In a triumphant late night address to the nation, the President decisively declared that “Frankly, we did win this election.” Against overwhelming odds, President Trump is on the brink of securing a second four year term.

The margins in the decisive states are clear. As of early Wednesday morning, the president was up 300,000 votes in Michigan. He was up 110,000 in Wisconsin. He was up a staggering 700,000 in Pennsylvania. He holds clear leads in Georgia and North Carolina.

Despite a relentless defamation campaign by the press, censorship by big tech, riots by Antifa and Black Lives Matter, the silent majority of Americans turned out to support their president.

Only one thing remains to be done: To stop the left from executing its color revolution and stealing the election in the days to come.

The mess in Pennsylvania shows how this revolution will unfold. The president’s lead there is a staggering 14 percentage points. From the early hours of Tuesday night it was clear the President was dramatically overperforming his polls in the Keystone State, and as votes poured in his lead only grew and grew. But Democrats control Philadelphia and the state government, and they had a plan. Early Tuesday night, they stopped updating vote totals in Philadelphia and announced that they would only resume updates on Wednesday, with counting perhaps taking until Friday.

This is a farce. It does not take four days to count ballots anywhere; it doesn’t even take more than one night. Philadelphia and every other Democratic city could absolutely could have counted every vote in its possession on Tuesday night. The only reason to delay the tally is to muddle the waters and provide Democrats with the necessary time to “find” the votes they need to win. Philadelphia is the exact city to do it in. The city already has a proven record of voter fraud.

The same stunt is happening around the country, in the deep blue cities of America’s swing states. Atlanta, Detroit, Milwaukee, all of them have slow-rolled or outright ceased counting votes, for no reason except to drag out the process and create the friction needed to add questionable votes. This isn’t complicated. It’s an effort to snatch an election they know they are on the brink of losing.

But when observers called out the shady behavior right in front of their eyes, Big Tech swooped in to suppress the narrative.

This battle will be the fiercest political fight in living memory. Every institution in America is arrayed against the president. Big Tech will try to silence his every word. Democratic state officials will collude with efforts to “find” ballots and count mail-in votes with no postmark or signature. The media will attack the President’s every word while giving Biden endless deference.

Even Fox News did its part on Tuesday night to undermine the president. All night, the network avoided calling states for Trump, even when the race was clearly over in states like Texas and Florida. But with Arizona, the network almost instantly called the race, even though huge amounts of election-day votes were outstanding (and could yet flip the state to Trump). Their eagerness makes complete sense once one learns that Fox’s election guru is avid Democratic donor Arnon Mishkin. Mishkin has given more than $4500 to Democrats over the years, and on Tuesday night could be seen fanatically defending his decision to declare Arizona unwinnable for Trump, even as he dragged out calling states like Texas. The effort was clear: Even with President Trump leading in the key states, this strategy allowed election night to be treated as a “tie” or narrow Biden win, setting the stage for Biden to win as new votes are found in the coming days.

Cable news, the press, the colleges, big tech, the bureaucracy, the intelligence agencies: All of them spent four years trying to bring down the Trump presidency. The days to come are the climax of that effort. The color revolution is underway. But President Trump is standing firm against it.

Prepare for battle.....

--SOURCE--"

As if this writing, Wisconsin has now been called for Biden with him allegedly leading in Michigan (quite unbelievable after the behavior of the tyrant Whitmer). That plus the hank-panky in Nevada is all he needs to be declared president.

If this theft is allowed to stand, voting in America will no longer mean anything -- even less than it already does. We will have lost our Republic and democracy with it.