Friday, October 17, 2014

Spanish Secessionists Split

Related: Spanish Secession

"Catalonia shifts gears, plans nonbinding vote on secession" by Raphael Minder | New York Times   October 15, 2014

MADRID — With a referendum on independence blocked by objections from Madrid, Catalonia’s leader said Tuesday that the region would go ahead next month with a nonbinding vote on secession.

In his latest act of defiance toward Madrid, Artur Mas, the Catalan leader, called off his push for a secession vote next month, but announced that the regional Catalan government would instead urge its citizens to take part in a looser, nonbinding consultation on the same date. He added that his government had the right to organize such an expression of popular will and that doing so would not violate Spanish law.

“We have sufficient strength to do what we said we would do, which is to consult the people of Catalonia,” Mas said at a televised news conference. “There will be ballot boxes and papers” on Nov. 9, he added.

His alternative plan is less likely to push Spain into a constitutional crisis, even if it creates, at least for now, further political and legal uncertainty and continues to be opposed by the central government of Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy. An informal ballot would also struggle to receive the international legitimacy that Mas had hoped to achieve with a vote.

Meaning the globe-kickers running this world don't want it.

In the coming weeks, Mas also faces a significant challenge in keeping other pro-independence parties aligned with his governing Convergence party.

“We continue to go forward, but at the moment not as united as 10 days ago,” he said.

Mas, a late but staunch convert to secessionism, has been trying to lead Catalonia toward independence without being held responsible for provoking an unprecedented crisis for Spain. Catalonia, Spain’s economic powerhouse, has been pushing for a vote on secession that the central government has vowed to block. Rajoy is also counting on the support of Spain’s Constitutional Court. 

That's why the government doesn't want to let them go.

Mas and Rajoy have been at loggerheads for two years, initially over fiscal issues. However, tensions came to the fore late last month, when Mas signed a decree approving the Nov. 9 vote. Mas contends that his position had been made untenable by Rajoy’s refusal to talk, even after Scotland rejected independence from Britain in a referendum in September.

Scotland had a rigged vote that said they rejected it.

Rajoy’s government has steadfastly refused to allow Catalans to vote on independence and, if anything, has been emboldened by the failure of the Scottish push for secession.

On Tuesday, Rajoy described the cancellation of the Catalan vote as “excellent news.” He said at an economic conference in Madrid that “Spain is a democracy and an advanced country, and to comply with the law is an obligation for everybody.”

Except for the elite. They are above the law.

But Mas later sought to dampen Rajoy’s celebration.

“There are people who say they have excellent news, but excellent news sometimes lasts only a few hours,” Mas said.

He added that his government had “competences in terms of consultation” of its citizens, without specifying how his latest plan could be deemed legal by Spanish courts.

Mas must now hope a nonbinding referendum can generate sufficient popular enthusiasm amid discord among the main secessionist parties and without legal guarantees from the government of Spain.

However, the possibility that Mas will instead eventually switch to a longer-term strategy to achieve an independent Catalonia, by calling for new elections for the regional parliament “as a plebiscite,” raises the prospect that Rajoy will end up facing a Catalan parliament controlled by more hard-line secessionist politicians than Mas.

Mas changed tack Tuesday after a long, tense meeting with other secessionist politicians on Monday, during which he failed to gain their support for his latest consultation plan. After that meeting, Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya, a left-wing secessionist party that has the second-largest representation in Catalonia’s parliament, issued a statement suggesting that it wanted new elections, to move swiftly toward a unilateral declaration of independence.

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