"The United States passed a grim milestone Wednesday, hitting 250,000 coronavirus-related deaths, with the number expected to keep climbing steeply. Experts predict the country will soon be reporting 2,000 deaths a day or more, matching or exceeding the spring peak, and that 100,000 to 200,000 more Americans could die in coming months. Just how bad it gets will depend on a variety of factors, including how well preventive measures are followed and when a vaccine is introduced. “It all depends on what we do and how we address this outbreak,” said Jeffrey Shaman, a Columbia University epidemiologist who has modeled the spread of the disease. “That is going to determine how much it runs through us.” In March, when the virus was still relatively new and limited mainly to a few significant pockets like New York, Dr. Anthony S. Fauci, the top infectious disease expert in the country, predicted it might kill up to 240,000 Americans. It has now passed that mark, with no end in sight. New vaccines may begin to have an impact next year, experts said, and for now, developments in treating the disease as well as a younger population getting infected mean that far fewer people who are admitted to hospitals are dying. The deadliest day of the pandemic in the United States was April 15, when the reported daily toll hit 2,752. By March 24, a little over a month into the pandemic, 50,000 people had died. That number doubled to 100,000 by May 27 and added another 50,000 within two months, by July 29. Two months later, on Sept. 22, the total reached 200,000. Toward the end of the summer, the number of cases being reported daily in the United States eased, after a brief spike in July, but they have been soaring again since the beginning of November. On Sept. 22, there had been somewhat more than 6.9 million total US cases, according to a New York Times database. As of Wednesday, there were more than 11.5 million....."
Related:
The usual diagnostic tests may simply be too sensitive and too slow to contain the spread of the virus, and it means the "positive" test does not result in an infectious person.
So, yes, the NY Times exposed the PCR test and yet it is still considered the gold-standard for COVID tests much like the FDA is considered the gold standard when it comes to regulation:
"Two officials at the Food and Drug Administration said on Saturday that they had erred by allowing manufacturers to sell Covid-19 antibody tests that had not been proved accurate, flooding the United States with unreliable blood tests early in the pandemic. The officials, Dr. Jeffrey Shuren and Dr. Timothy Stenzel, said in an essay published in The New England Journal of Medicine that the F.D.A.’s guidance on March 16, 2020, which allowed companies to sell tests without emergency use authorization, “was flawed.” Within two weeks of that guidance, 37 manufacturers told the F.D.A. that they were introducing the tests in the United States, a number that swelled to 164 by the end of April, the officials said. Many of those tests turned out to be inaccurate, and by May the F.D.A. demanded that companies submit data that proved that their tests were reliable or they could be banned. As of this month, the officials said, the F.D.A. had issued 15 warning letters regarding the tests, removed references to 225 tests from its website and issued “import alerts” regarding 88 companies, meaning their imported tests will receive additional scrutiny — and could be blocked — at the border. “Our experience with serology tests underscores the importance of authorizing medical products independently, on the basis of sound science, and not permitting market entry of tests without authorization,” they wrote in the essay, referring to the blood tests. “Knowing what we know now, we would not have permitted serology tests to be marketed without F.D.A. review and authorization, even within the limits we initially imposed.” Soon after the tests first appeared in the United States, scientists discovered that many were flawed, even as some government officials and employers were saying the tests could be crucial to easing restrictions imposed during the pandemic. One review, which was not peer-reviewed, found that of 14 tests on the market, only three gave consistently reliable results. Many others gave false positive results, signaling that someone had already been infected with the coronavirus and had a heightened level of protection when that was not the case. Even some of the most effective tests did not detect antibodies in 10 percent of people who actually had them. The F.D.A.’s website lists the antibody tests that have been given emergency authorization and provides information about the effectiveness of those tests. In the essay, Dr. Shuren and Dr. Stenzel acknowledged that, although the F.D.A. had been operating with “limited and evolving information” and that other factors led to the prevalence of the faulty tests, the March 16 policy was what had “allowed it to happen.”
What the above tells you is the ENTIRE YEAR of COVID FEAR has been based on FAULTY TESTS!
The only reason that information is coming out now is because of the lawsuits that are stacking up all over the planet. The criminals know they are in trouble after having promoted this fraud.
So as with the Biden Vote, we find that cases have been fabricated and deaths have been inflated.
Not only that, if you have been infected with a coronavirus your natural immunity may last years, even decades so there is no need for a vaccine.
"More than 3 million people in the United States have active coronavirus infections and are potentially contagious, according to infectious-disease experts. That number is significantly larger than the official count, which is based solely on those who have tested positive for the virus. The vast and rapidly growing pool of infected people poses a daunting challenge to governors and mayors in hard-hit communities. Traditional efforts such as testing, isolating the sick, and tracing contacts can be overwhelmed if a virus spreads at an exponential rate, especially when large numbers of asymptomatic people may be unaware they’re infectious. To put the 3 million-plus figure in perspective: It is close to 1 percent of the population, about equal to the number of public school teachers or the number of truck drivers. If the University of Michigan’s football stadium were packed with a random selection of Americans, about 1,000 would be contagious. Columbia University epidemiologist Jeffrey Shaman said his team’s model estimated that 3.6 million people are infected and shedding enough virus to infect others. That’s a 34 percent week-to-week increase that followed a 36 percent increase in the previous seven-day average, he said. The estimate does not include an approximately equal number of latent infections among people who caught the virus in recent days and can’t pass it on yet because it is still incubating. ’'It’s bad; it’s really, really bad,’' Shaman said. ’'We’re running into Thanksgiving now and that’s only going to make it worse. We’re going to go through a lot of people being infected between now and the end of the year, unfortunately.’' Separately, the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation estimated Tuesday that 3.2 million people have been infected just since Election Day, Nov. 3....."
The science says asymptomatic people are NOT INFECTIOUS, something even Fraudci admitted, and I will say this for Shaman, he is the model of consistency when it comes to promulgating false fear:
"The coronavirus pandemic in the United States has raged almost uncontrollably for so long that now, even if millions of people are vaccinated, millions more will still be infected and become ill, unless people continue to wear masks and maintain social distancing measures until midsummer or later, according to a new model by scientists at Columbia University. The arrival of highly effective vaccines in December lifted hopes that they would eventually slow or stop the spread of the disease through the rest of the population, but vaccines alone are not enough, the model shows, and if precautions like working remotely, limiting travel and wearing masks are relaxed too soon, it could add many more infections and thousands more deaths to the national toll. There is no doubt that getting vaccinated protects the recipient from severe disease. Still, several infectious-disease researchers contacted by The New York Times cautioned that it would be months before enough people in the United States will have gotten the shots to allow for normal life to begin again. Only then will the number of people with immunity — those who have had the disease and recovered, plus those who have been vaccinated — be large enough to take the wind out of the pandemic, said Jeffrey Shaman, an epidemiologist at Columbia who shared his team’s modeling calculations....."
He says social distancing, mask-wearing and other measures should continue until late July, “and that may be optimistic,” because otherwise yet another resurgence of the virus is possible so no light at the end of the tunnel!
"More than a quarter-million people in the United States had died of COVID-19 as of the latest fatality reports on Thursday. The toll surpasses the White House’s worst predictions from the spring, and it will almost certainly rise much higher as infections accelerate and hospital systems across the country face imminent overloads....."
The overloaded hospitals has been a lie since the very beginning and that makes LA county criminal as EMTs are told to not bring patients to overwhelmed hospitals if survival chances remote (where are Gage, Desoto, and Brackett when you need them?) as Newsom told reporters, “This is a deadly disease, this is a deadly pandemic and it remains more deadly today than at any point in the history of the pandemic.”
Not only is he an incorrigible liar and criminal, his lockdown policy is also an abysmal and miserable failure.
Time for your test:
"The Food and Drug Administration on Tuesday gave an emergency green light to the first rapid coronavirus test that can run from start to finish at home, paving a potential path for more widespread testing. The test, developed by the California company Lucira Health, requires a prescription. People under age 14 can’t perform the test on themselves, but with a relatively simple nasal swab, the test can return results in about half an hour and is projected by the company to cost $50 or less. Clinicians can also run the test on their patients, including children under 14, potentially delivering answers during a single visit to a care center or pharmacy, instead of routing a tough-to-collect sample through a lab. A handful of other tests have been cleared for at-home collection of samples, which are then shipped to a lab. Lucira’s is the first to remove the need for an intermediary. Laboratory tests that look for the coronavirus’s genetic material using a technique called polymerase chain reaction, or PCR, are still considered the gold standard, but the at-home test relies on similar principles by using a method called a loop mediated amplification reaction, or LAMP. Like PCR, LAMP repeatedly copies genetic material until it reaches detectable levels, making it possible to identify the virus even at very low levels in the respiratory tract. While faster and less cumbersome than PCR, LAMP is generally thought to be less accurate."
It's the 21st-century's version of SNAKE OIL!
After what was reported above, how much confidence do you have in the FDA LAMP?!
This is a CRIMINAL SCAM of EPIC PROPORTIONS, folks!
Thankfully, New York City’s entire public school system has reopened as new coronavirus cases fell nearly 10%, thanks in part to strict government lockdown measures that have left authorities expressing optimism that weeks of restrictions on movement and social interactions were starting to slow the spread of the virus and that the “efforts are starting to pay off, you must definitely not stop them because they are the price to return to a normal life.”
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This is what they mean by normal:
"What you can do post-vaccine, and when; Scientists cite several reasons for staying masked and cautious as you start your post-vaccine life" by Claire Cain Miller, Margot Sanger-Katz and Katherine J. Wu New York Times, December 21, 2020
Vaccines are here, bringing hope of the pandemic’s end, but even when you get your dose, it won’t mean an immediate return to life as you knew it.
Scientists cite several reasons for staying masked and cautious as you start your post-vaccine life. Vaccines don’t offer perfect protection; we don’t yet know whether vaccinated people can spread the virus; and coronavirus is likely to continue its rapid spread until a large majority of the population is vaccinated or has survived a natural infection.
Because vaccines will not be a ticket back to 2019, Uma Karmarkar, a neuroeconomist at the University of California San Diego, recommends that people think about “how we are moving forward” instead of “getting back to normal.” (Neuroeconomics bridges neuroscience, psychology, and economics.)
AKA a masters in mind-f**king.
Vaccination provides you and society the best way to move forward. Some parts of life will begin to feel different as soon as the vaccine kicks in. Other changes will take longer. When it comes to thinking about what’s safe, it may help to think of post-vaccine life in several phases.
What’s safer to do once I’m vaccinated?
When people are fully vaccinated (a week or two after the second dose), but most others aren’t yet, their lives probably shouldn’t change very much, experts say. It will most likely be safer for them to do things like visit the grocery store or the post office, but vaccinated people should still wear masks and avoid large groups and indoor gatherings.
Then WHY BOTHER with a VACCINE you DON'T NEED?
That’s important for both their health and the health of others, experts said. Scientists are waiting to learn if vaccinated people can spread the virus to others. (Early data on transmission seems promising, but vaccines are very unlikely to curb contagiousness entirely.) Also, while early evidence suggests that the first vaccines in the United States reduce people’s risk of developing COVID-19 by around 95 percent, that still means a small fraction could get sick — and as long as the virus is as widespread as it is now, even that small share could be a big number.
Based on what, flawed tests that return false positives?
What it looks like is the VACCINE is GIVING YOU the non-existent VIRUS!
In an informal survey of 700 epidemiologists by The New York Times, less than a third said they would change their behavior after they were vaccinated; half said they would wait until at least 70 percent of the population was vaccinated.
Kelsey Vandersteen, a trauma ICU nurse at UW Health University Hospital in Madison, Wis., will receive her first injection on Wednesday — probably months ahead of her young daughters and husband, who works from home for a software company.
Even after her second shot, she doesn’t intend to change her behavior, including wearing a mask. She says she hopes this will model good behavior for others. Besides, she said: “I prefer the mask. It protects me from other stuff as well. We’ve been completely healthy — not a sniffle since March.”
Did she survive it or did she pull a Tiffany Dover and become another vaccine casualty because people are dropping like flies all over the planet and some vaccination programs have been shelved -- something the Boston Globe is minimizing if not outright ignoring and hushing up the severe adverse reactions to coronavirus vaccine.
That's the future of vaccines, folks, which is really no future at all.
What’s safer to do once my friends and family are vaccinated?
If you and the people you want to see are all vaccinated, it should be safer to socialize with them, including indoors, experts said, but being in large groups or traveling, when there’s no way to know if the people around you have been vaccinated, will remain risky, they said.
Eric Lofgren, an infectious disease epidemiologist at Washington State University, said at that point, he would restart in-person board game nights and one-on-one meetings with students, but he wouldn’t fly on vacation or go to a movie theater. “Immunity is not an on/off switch; it’s a dial,” he said. “If you’re below herd immunity, the virus is still happily circulating in the population and there’s always a chance the vaccine isn’t working for you.”
Actually, herd immunity IS a SWITCH!
Once you HAVE IT, you GOT IT!
Just another $cientific Shaman!
In some ways, this may be the hardest phase of post-vaccine life to navigate. Deciding which risks to take will involve calculations that can prove exhausting, said Elizabeth Dorrance Hall, an assistant professor of communications at Michigan State University: “Our brains just get so tired of weighing each and every thing that we just run out of brain power on gradients.”
Many people have loved ones who will be vaccinated before they are, such as those who are at high risk because of their age or underlying conditions. Socializing with them before you are vaccinated is a harder question, experts said. It would certainly be safer than it is now, but the small chance of infecting someone who is at high risk may not be worth it.
Other people will be vaccinated early because their jobs leave them highly exposed to the virus; it will continue to be risky to spend time with them before you also have immunity, experts said.
What isn't worth it is continuing to read this slop.
What’s safer to do once most of the population is vaccinated?
It should be much safer to move around once your community achieves herd immunity — the point when the vaccine can’t easily spread because enough people have become vaccinated or have already had the illness. Many scientists think at least 70 percent of people need to have acquired immunity for the whole community to be protected. That number is just an estimate, though, and might need to be revised once we know more about how vaccines affect the virus’s ability to spread.
Like when Fraudci jacked it up to, I don't know, 80-85%.
These $cienti$ts are CRIMINAL!
Besides, based on all their lies the case counts have already given us herd immunity as well as the asymptomatic cases.
After all, you NEVER EVEN KNEW you were SICK because you weren't!
When a large majority of people are vaccinated, scientists said, it will be safer to do things in your community, like eat at indoor restaurants, attend a party, or ride a bus. Next Christmas, families can probably gather in ways they should avoid this year, they said.
It’s too early to know exactly when we’ll hit that threshold. Although federal officials have said the United States should have the resources to vaccinate hundreds of millions of people by summer, many scientists say that timeline is optimistic. There could be logistical challenges to vaccinating everyone, and some people have expressed hesitancy about getting the vaccine.
The PLAN is to VACCINATE EVERYONE and that has NEVER CHANGED despite the false hope generated by the pre$$!
It’s likely that some regions will have higher vaccination rates than others. Just as some communities have found themselves vulnerable to measles because of low childhood vaccination rates, areas with low COVID-19 vaccination rates may see outbreaks even if the country has reached a herd immunity level overall. Knowing that context will be crucial for decision making.
Also, experts stressed that even when herd immunity is reached, COVID-19 is not likely to disappear outright. Outbreaks could still be likely, probably in winter.
That is because it is NOTHING MORE than COMMON COLD and SEASONAL FLU!
“Winter is going to start being flu and COVID season,” said Andrew Noymer, an epidemiologist studying COVID-19 at the University of California Irvine. The last things he will return to, he said, are international travel and crowded events like concerts — but he expects to do those again at some point. He is waiting not just for the vaccine, but also for the virus’s spread to decrease greatly and for hospitals to have more capacity: “I intend to go back bit by bit.”
Yeah, seasonal flu is taking a year off, sure.
Anyone or anything that further promotes this COLOSSAL FRAUD is a CRIMINAL and a SPECIAL KIND of EVIL.
They CALL EVERYTHING COVID NOW!
Why do we still need a risk budget after vaccines?
During the pandemic, experts have asked people to think of themselves as having a risk budget: If you spend some of that limited supply by engaging in riskier behaviors, you will need to cut back in other aspects of your life. Vaccines can expand an individual’s risk budget, Lofgren said, but they do not make the budget infinite: If you travel to see friends, you might still want to offset that decision by avoiding indoor restaurants.
The most effective route to more freedom is for as many people as possible to be vaccinated, experts say.
F**king EVIL!
Even though risks will remain, vaccines with 95 percent efficacy will be especially powerful once the number of coronavirus cases diminishes.
“The take-home to me is nothing is 100 percent, but it’s very good,” said Gypsyamber D’Souza, a professor of epidemiology at Johns Hopkins University.
It may be frustrating to keep waiting, but as people get extra protection from the vaccine, the daily decisions will get easier as everyone’s risk budget balloons.
What will the new normal look like?
Scientists said they were waiting to learn many things before they would feel comfortable doing more high-risk activities, like how many people wind up being vaccinated, how long immunity lasts (after vaccination and after infection), and whether the virus evolves.
This summer will probably be more open because more people will be vaccinated, and the virus seems to slow in warmer months as people can more easily socialize outdoors, but expect an uptick in cases and hospitalizations next winter, scientists say.
Last year we were told warmer weather didn't diminish it at all, so fuck off liars!
What has changed, huh?
“It’s a really exciting time for science, but I would maintain that caution,” said Delivette Castor, an infectious disease epidemiologist at Columbia. “For me personally, I will not be at ease until we have sufficient coverage in the community and we’ve had it for a durable period of time.”
Scientists also say it’s unlikely that life will look exactly like 2019 again. In the new normal, there may be more mask-wearing during flu season or in crowded places because awareness has been raised, and there will probably be more systems in place to prevent pandemics from being as deadly, Castor said. These include methods for tracking emerging infections and screening before activities like flying.
That is a hopeful development, experts say. This year, rates of seasonal flu are substantially lower than usual, a shift they say is partly explained by the widespread use of masks and physical distancing. If we keep them up, the changes that coronavirus has wrought — like the decline of handshaking — may have payoffs in reducing risks of other diseases in the future.
If so, why were they NEVER RECOMMENDED BEFORE!
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Related:
"Researchers in Denmark reported on Wednesday that surgical masks did not protect the wearers against infection with the coronavirus in a large randomized clinical trial, but the findings conflict with those from a number of other studies, experts said, and is not likely to alter public health recommendations in the United States. The study, published in the Annals of Internal Medicine, did not contradict growing evidence that masks can prevent transmission of the virus from wearer to others, but the conclusion is at odds with the view that masks also protect the wearers — a position endorsed just last week by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Critics were quick to note the study’s limitations, among them that the design depended heavily on participants reporting their own test results and behavior, at a time when both mask-wearing and infection were rare in Denmark. From early April to early June, researchers at the University of Copenhagen recruited 6,024 participants who had been tested beforehand to be sure they were not infected with the coronavirus. Half were given surgical masks and told to wear them when leaving their homes; the others were told not to wear masks in public. At that time, 2 percent of the Danish population was infected — a rate lower than that in many places in the United States and Europe today. Social distancing and frequent hand-washing were common, but masks were not. The researchers had hoped that masks would cut the infection rate by half among wearers. Instead, 42 people in the mask group, or 1.8 percent, got infected, compared with 53 in the unmasked group, or 2.1 percent. The difference was not statistically significant....."
Hey, it is not quantum physics but just IGNORE the REAL SCIENCE when it DOES NOT FIR the PRECONCEIVED NARRATIVE, 'eh?
No sooner did the governor of Missouri say he will not mandate masks than he got allegedly got sick as the resolve of front-line health care workers is being tested by the refusal of so many Americans to wear masks.
Of course, Denmark is all in on the mass extermination and new economy brought about by lockdowns, as is the rest of Scandanavia, even Sweden, which has banned public gatherings of more than eight people.
Also see:
"Denmark will probably reach a turning point in the fight against the pandemic in early April, Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen said. ’'I think the worst year is behind us but we must expect that the most difficult months are still ahead of us,’' the Social Democrat premier said in her New Year speech broadcast on Friday. She said Easter Sunday, on April 4, will ’'not be the end but a turning point,’' helped by vaccinations and better weather conditions."
?????????
"Denmark on Friday became the first major oil-producing nation to announce an end to state-approved exploration in the North Sea, with the aim of phasing out all extraction by 2050. The decision was applauded by some environmental activists, with Greenpeace celebrating it as a “watershed moment,” although other groups had hoped for a faster timeline....."
The was one of the most important news stories of the day, curated by Wa$hington Compo$t editors and delivered every morning.
"Denmark, the country with the longest history of negative central bank rates, is offering homeowners 20-year loans at a fixed interest rate of zero. Customers at the Danish home-finance unit of Nordea Bank Abp can, as of Tuesday, get the mortgages. At least two other banks have since said they’ll do the same. Denmark stands out in a global context as the country to have lived with negative central bank rates longer than any other. Back in 2012, policy makers drove their main rate below zero to defend the krone’s peg to the euro. Since then, Danish homeowners have enjoyed continuous slides in borrowing costs."
Looks like they are going back to the roaring '80s as well, which is odd considering that factories increased their output in December even as more bankruptcies were filed than any time since 2009 and net worth of White Americans hit a record last year (must have been the predatory lending by the likes of Cohn, Ackman, and Murdoch that denied them the perks to keep them happy and in a home).
That's the only time you can take the mask off:
"CDC recommends people wear masks indoors when not at home" by Taylor Telford, Washington Post
Dec. 4, 2020
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is urging “universal mask use” indoors for the first time as the country shatters records for coronavirus hospitalizations and deaths ahead of the holiday season.
The CDC has for months encouraged mask-wearing in public spaces with people outside the household. The new guidance, published Friday, asks people to put on masks anywhere outside their homes.
In its weekly Morbidity and Mortality report, the CDC warned Friday that the U.S. has entered “a phase of high-level transmission” as colder weather and the ongoing holiday season push Americans indoors, and said that “consistent and correct” use of face masks is critical to taming the virus.
Wearing a mask isn’t just about protecting other people, the CDC says. It can help you — and might prevent lockdowns.
Then they already would have, and the “high-level transmission phase” just happened to coincide with the seasonal cold and flu that has all but disappeared, how about that?
Mask use is most crucial indoors, and in outdoor spaces where social distancing cannot be maintained, the CDC said in the report. The agency recommended mask use at home when a member of the household has been infected or potentially exposed to the virus, including those with high-risk occupations such as meatpacking or agricultural processing.
“Compelling evidence now supports the benefits of cloth face masks for both source control [to protect others],” the report said, “and to a lesser extent, protection of the wearer.”
The EXACT OPPOSITE is the TRUTH!
Mitigation measures are particularly essential in light of recent research that suggests roughly 50 percent of transmission of the coronavirus is from asymptomatic people, the report said. It also recommended that communities make a plan for distributing masks to people who might struggle to access them.
Robert Redfield, head of the CDC, has called masks “the most important, powerful public health tool” in combating the coronavirus. A growing body of research shows widespread mask use can save scores of lives and stave off economic damage. One June analysis from Goldman Sachs estimated that a 15 percent increase in universal masking could prevent lockdowns and reduce associated losses of up to $1 trillion.
I was told the actual cost of the economic fallout was more like $9 trillion, but on the positive side, the number of daily new cases in the United States, which has the worst outbreak in the world, has been on the decline.
On Thursday, President-elect Joe Biden said that, on his first day in office, he'd ask Americans to mask up for 100 days. "Not forever. 100 days," Biden said in an interview with CNN, "and I think we’ll see a significant reduction.”
And two weeks to flatten the curve, pfffft!
In addition to stepping up mask use, the CDC also recommended postponing travel plans.
Despite CDC warnings, experts are anticipating a holiday travel rush.
“The reality is, December and January and February are going to be rough times,” Redfield said at a U.S. Chamber of Commerce Foundation event on Wednesday. “I actually believe they’re going to be the most difficult time in the public health history of this nation.”
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The person most responsible for making it that way:
"At what point does a country achieve herd immunity? What portion of the population must acquire resistance to the coronavirus, either through infection or vaccination, in order for the disease to fade away and life to return to normal? Since the start of the pandemic, the figure that many epidemiologists have offered has been 60 to 70 percent. That range is still cited by the World Health Organization and is often repeated during discussions of the future course of the disease. Although it is impossible to know with certainty what the limit will be until we reach it and transmission stops, having a good estimate is important: It gives Americans a sense of when we can hope to breathe freely again. Recently, a figure to whom millions of Americans look for guidance — Dr. Anthony S. Fauci, an adviser to both the Trump administration and the incoming Biden administration — has begun incrementally raising his herd-immunity estimate. In the pandemic’s early days, Fauci tended to cite the same 60 to 70 percent estimate that most experts did. About a month ago, he began saying “70, 75 percent” in television interviews, and last week, in an interview with CNBC News, he said “75, 80, 85 percent” and “75 to 80-plus percent.” In a telephone interview the next day, Fauci acknowledged that he had slowly but deliberately been moving the goal posts. He is doing so, he said, partly based on new science, and partly on his gut feeling that the country is finally ready to hear what he really thinks. Hard as it may be to hear, he said, he believes that it may take close to 90 percent immunity to bring the virus to a halt — almost as much as is needed to stop a measles outbreak. Asked about Fauci’s conclusions, prominent epidemiologists said that he might be proven right. The early range of 60 to 70 percent was almost undoubtedly too low, they said, and the virus is becoming more transmissible, so it will take greater herd immunity to stop it. Fauci said that weeks ago, he had hesitated to publicly raise his estimate because many Americans seemed hesitant about vaccines, which they would need to accept almost universally in order for the country to achieve herd immunity. Now that some polls are showing that many more Americans are ready, even eager, for vaccines, he said he felt he could deliver the tough message that the return to normal might take longer than anticipated."
Or NEVER, damn bastard!
Of course, if the virus is more transmissible it means HERD IMMUNITY has been ACHIEVED!
Of course, Fraudci's only concern is getting that tube of poison into your body:
“When polls said only about half of all Americans would take a vaccine, I was saying herd immunity would take 70 to 75 percent,” Fauci said. “Then, when newer surveys said 60 percent or more would take it, I thought, ‘I can nudge this up a bit,’ so I went to 80, 85. We need to have some humility here,” he added. “We really don’t know what the real number is. I think the real range is somewhere between 70 to 90 percent, but, I’m not going to say 90 percent.” Doing so might be discouraging to Americans, he said, because he is not sure there will be enough voluntary acceptance of vaccines to reach that goal. Although sentiments about vaccines in polls have bounced up and down this year, several current ones suggest that about 20 percent of Americans say they are unwilling to accept any vaccine. Also, Fauci noted, a herd-immunity figure at 90 percent or above is in the range of the infectiousness of measles. “I’d bet my house that Covid isn’t as contagious as measles,” he said.
So much for the SCIENCE, huh?
How come we were NEVER LOCKED DOWN over MEASLES?
Measles is thought to be the world’s most contagious disease; it can linger in the air for hours or drift through vents to infect people in other rooms. In some studies of outbreaks in crowded military barracks and student dormitories, it has kept transmitting until more than 95 percent of all residents are infected. Interviews with epidemiologists regarding the degree of herd immunity needed to defeat the coronavirus produced a range of estimates, some of which were in line with Dr. Fauci’s. They also came with a warning: All answers are merely “guesstimates.” “You tell me what numbers to put in my equations, and I’ll give you the answer,” said Marc Lipsitch, an epidemiologist at Harvard’s T.H. Chan School of Public Health, “but you can’t tell me the numbers, because nobody knows them.” The only truly accurate measures of herd immunity are done in actual herds and come from studying animal viruses like rinderpest and foot-and-mouth disease, said Dr. David M. Morens, Fauci’s senior adviser on epidemiology at the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases. When cattle are penned in corrals, it is easy to measure how fast a disease spreads from one animal to another, he said. Humans move around, so studying disease spread among them is far harder.
They are treating us like cattle, though.
The original assumption that it would take 60 to 70 percent immunity to stop the disease was based on early data from China and Italy, health experts noted. Epidemiologists watching how fast cases doubled in those outbreaks calculated that the virus’s reproduction number, or R0 — how many new victims each carrier infected — was about 3. So two out of three potential victims would have to become immune before each carrier infected fewer than one. When each carrier infects fewer than one new victim, the outbreak slowly dies out. Two out of three is 66.7 percent, which established the range of 60 to 70 percent for herd immunity. Reinforcing that notion was a study conducted by the French military on the crew of the aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle, which had an outbreak in late March, said Dr. Christopher J.L. Murray, director of the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. The study found that 1,064 of the 1,568 sailors aboard, or about 68 percent, had tested positive for the virus, but the carrier returned to port while the outbreak was still in progress, and the crew went into quarantine, so it was unclear whether the virus was finished infecting new sailors even after 68 percent had caught it.
So the LOCKDOWNS and QUARANTINES have actually KEPT the alleged VIRUS ALIVE!
Also, outbreaks aboard ships are poor models for those on land because infections move much faster in the close quarters of a vessel than in a free-roaming civilian population, said Dr. Natalie E. Dean, a biostatistician at the University of Florida. More important, the early estimates from Wuhan and Italy were later revised upward, Lipsitch noted, once Chinese scientists realized they had undercounted the number of victims of the first wave. It took about two months to be certain that there were many asymptomatic people who had also spread the virus.
That is a DAMNABLE LIE!
It also became clearer later that “superspreader events,” in which one person infects dozens or even hundreds of others, played a large role in spreading Covid-19. Such events, in “normal” populations — in which no one wears masks and everyone attends events like parties, basketball tournaments or Broadway shows — can push the reproduction number upward to 4, 5 or even 6, experts said. Consequently, those scenarios call for higher herd immunity; for example, at an R0 of 5, more than four out of five people, or 80 percent, must be immune to slow down the virus.
You left out protests.
Further complicating matters, there is a growing consensus among scientists that the virus itself is becoming more transmissible. A variant “Italian strain” with the mutation known as D614G has spread much faster than the original Wuhan variant. A newly identified mutation, sometimes called N501Y, that may make the virus even more infectious has recently appeared in Britain, South Africa and elsewhere. The more transmissible a pathogen, the more people must become immune in order to stop it. Morens and Lipsitch agreed with Fauci that the level of herd immunity needed to stop Covid-19 could be 85 percent or higher, “but that’s a guesstimate,” Dr. Lipsitch emphasized. “Tony’s reading the tea leaves,” Morens said.
That is a science now?
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention offers no herd immunity estimate, saying on its website that “experts do not know.” Although W.H.O. scientists still sometimes cite the older 60 to 70 percent estimate, Dr. Katherine O’Brien, the agency’s director of immunization, said that she now thought that range was too low. She declined to estimate what the correct higher one might be. “We’d be leaning against very thin reeds if we tried to say what level of vaccine coverage would be needed to achieve it,” she said. “We should say we just don’t know, and it won’t be a world or even national number. It will depend on what community you live in.”
Vaccines don't provide any immunity at all!
Only the HUMAN IMMUNE SYSTEM DOES, and it WORKS RATHER WELL!
Dean noted that to stop transmission in a crowded city like New York, more people would have to achieve immunity than would be necessary in a less crowded place like Montana. Even if Fauci is right and it will take 85 or even 90 percent herd immunity to completely stop coronavirus transmission, Lipsitch said, “we can still defang the virus sooner than that. We don’t have to have zero transmission in order to have a decent society. We have lots of diseases, like flu, transmitting all the time, and we don’t shut down society for that. If we can vaccinate almost all the people who are most at risk of severe outcomes, then this would become a milder disease.”
It ALREADY IS, and good thing Manhattan is barren these days.
Related:
"Speaking at the annual meeting of the New England Commission of Higher Education, Dr. Anthony Fauci lamented a pervasive public distrust in science and facts. Deciding whether to follow public health guidelines, such as wearing a mask or avoiding large in-door gatherings, has become a political statement, Fauci said. “It is astounding how in the face of obvious facts people are still denialists,” Fauci said. “We are in the middle of a historic, devastating pandemic, the likes of which we have not seen in over 100 years, and yet in certain states, cities, and regions of the country — even when the hospitals are overflowing with people who are desperately ill and dying, it’s real data — there are still people who are saying it’s fake news or it’s a hoax.” President Trump has often shunned masks and during the presidential campaign held several large indoor rallies, despite the public health guidance against them. Fauci acknowledged his relationship with Trump has at times been tense, especially when he talks about the science behind public health guidelines that conflicts with statements by the president and his supporters. “It’s a complicated relationship. It would be misleading and untruthful to say it’s not,” Fauci said, “but I think even with that, at the end of the day, the bottom line is we still do have a reasonably good relationship.” Fauci said the rapid development of safe and effective vaccines for COVID-19 has been a great success story. He and others are trying to assuage concerns about vaccines and convince people they are safe. By getting vaccinated, “you create an umbrella of protection over society that protects the vulnerable,” Fauci said....."
Give that man a kewpie doll:
"Dr. Anthony Fauci, the veteran director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and the public face of the battle against the pandemic in the United States, was the recipient of a $1 million Dan David Prize, an award headquartered at Tel Aviv University and dedicated this year to outstanding contributions in public health. The prize awards a total of $3 million a year to individuals and organizations for their achievements in three categories: expanding on knowledge of the past, enriching society in the present and promising to improve the future of the world. Fauci, 80, won in the “Present” category for his scientific contributions....."
It's that tribe that is at the bottom of everything it seems, and meet the new shaman over at the CDC.
{@@##$$%%^^&&}
At least you can trust the pediatricians, right?
"As the effects of climate change play out worldwide, pediatricians see the evidence in their offices. There are the children with asthma who experience more frequent attacks as a result of excess heat and longer allergy seasons, and then there are kids who have missed vaccinations or other routine care because more frequent hurricanes or other natural disasters have displaced their families. Now a new network of pediatricians nationwide is working on a grassroots effort to raise awareness of the effects of climate change on children’s health. Just this week, in a historic ruling, a coroner in the U.K. announced that a 9-year-old girl’s death was the first in the country in which air pollution — which can be made worse by climate change — was listed as a cause. The girl, who lived close to a major circular road in London, had a series of seizures, asthma attacks, and other complications in the years leading to her death in 2013....."
