Tuesday, September 6, 2011

Sunday Globe Special: State Poll

They didn't call me.

"Brown’s support high, but slipping; Poll also finds majority favor more gambling" September 04, 2011|By Noah Bierman, Globe Staff

Senator Scott Brown remains the most popular major political figure in Massachusetts, but his approval rating has fallen from a year ago, a sign he may be more vulnerable than anticipated as he gears up for a reelection fight, according to a Boston Globe poll.

The poll also found that a majority of respondents, 53 percent, support efforts to expand gambling in the state, while 40 percent oppose them. The issue has become Beacon Hill’s highest priority and is expected to be debated in the House next week. But support among residents surveyed does not appear to have changed since last January, when poll results were nearly identical.

Though Brown, who faces reelection next year, has fallen a bit from the lofty perch of public approval he had enjoyed, he remains quite popular for a Republican in a traditionally Democratic state.... 

The Massachusetts political figure who scored the highest percentage of people viewing him favorably was Senator John Kerry, with 52 percent. But he also had a relatively high number of people who viewed him unfavorably, 34 percent, bringing his net favorability rating - which pollsters believe to be the most reliable measure of popularity - to 18 percent. Brown’s net favorability rating is 23 percent.

Kerry is a piece of crap, and Brown is a brown noser.

Higher voter turnout for the presidential election next year could add a dynamic that was not present in the 2010 special election to fill the Senate seat. At the top of the Democratic ticket, President Obama remains relatively popular in the state despite lackluster ratings nationally. He was rated favorably by 54 percent of respondents, compared with 39 percent who rated him unfavorably.... 

Obama is more popular than Governor Deval Patrick, who was rated favorably by 45 percent of respondents and unfavorably by 38 percent.... 

While the poll suggested that support for expanded gambling is relatively strong, Smith noted that other surveys have shown that opponents tend to feel more passionate about the issue than supporters. That means voters who don’t like casinos are more likely to turn out on Election Day, and punish lawmakers who support gambling, he said. The Globe poll showed those over age 64 and those with postgraduate degrees were most likely to oppose casinos. Both groups tend to vote in high numbers.

Oh, I will be there.

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