"India struggles to balance its books as citizens lust for gold; Jewelry shops help keep wealth of clients hidden" by Shyamantha Asokan | Washington Post, May 27, 2012
MUMBAI - Kumar Jain’s small shop in Zaveri Bazaar, Mumbai’s labyrinthine jewelry district, has the feverish atmosphere of a Wall Street trading room. Women wave calculators, quote the latest global gold prices, and haggle fiercely over bangles laid out on velvet trays.
These buyers are thinking about finance rather than finery. “Money can change value,’’ said Jain, as he watched his shop assistants and customers do battle. “But when you have gold, no one can cheat you.’’
In India, the world’s biggest annual bullion importer,
gold jewelry plays a central role in weddings and festivals. But its
main appeal is as an investment favored by both rich and poor.
But the bustling business at jewelry shops is putting an increasing strain on India’s national finances, analysts say, causing particular concern as the world’s biggest democracy faces an economic slowdown this year.
For many Indians, the bazaar has had more appeal than the bank.
Indian households’ disposable incomes grew by 13 percent during the 2010-11 financial year, but the amount in their bank accounts rose by only 3 percent, according to official data.
High inflation often renders the idea of financial savings unappealing, and many people in rural areas lack access to banks. Meanwhile, global economic uncertainty has boosted bullion prices.
Gold today trades at around $1,540 per troy ounce, double its value since late 2008 despite a recent dip.
Yet India is struggling to balance its books partly because citizens keep buying gold.
The country’s current account, the difference between the value of its imports and exports of goods, services, and financial transfer payments, is running at a deficit of about 4 percent largely because of high import bills for oil and gold. India imported $48 billion worth of bullion last year.
The lack of money in Indian bank accounts forces the government and private companies to borrow abroad, pushing the country further into the red.
“You’re not looking at something sustainable. The balance of payments becomes very skewed,’’ said Deepali Bhargava, chief India economist at Espirito Santo, an investment bank.
Moreover, many Indians buy baubles as a way to launder undeclared cash and keep their wealth outside the formal economy....
Drug dealers and banks do it. Why can't the average citizen?
“Everything is under the table.’’
The International Monetary Fund predicts that India’s economy will grow by 6.9 percent this year, a significant drop from the double-digit rates touched in recent years.
Standard & Poor’s last month downgraded the country’s credit rating outlook from stable to negative. The rupee hit a record low against the dollar recently.
At home, India needs high growth to support its rapidly rising population. On the international stage, a slowdown will dampen hopes of a new superpower and democratic counterweight to China.
That's all the agenda-pushers are really concerned about.
Related: Indian Issues
India’s government has been trying to exert some control this spring. This year’s draft budget extended a tiny excise duty on gold jewelry - a 0.3 percent levy would have required even small jewelers to submit detailed logs of their stock.
A law requiring jewelers to record the tax numbers of customers spending more than 200,000 rupees, or $3,700, in cash was also proposed. However, the family jewelers went on strike in response, and both rules were dropped last week.
For now, Zaveri Bazaar continues its roaring trade. One of Jain’s regular clients is buying trinkets to build a savings fund because her husband has cancer. Another is saving up for a house by stockpiling gold.
Jain, an affable salesman with a thick mustache and a pinstriped shirt, attributes his appeal to his longstanding ties with each customer.
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