Tuesday, January 15, 2013

Mass. Manipulation of State Economic Numbers

As austerity once again comes to Massachusetts!

"The state had expected to issue an income tax reduction in January, which would have been triggered automatically by sustained growth. For only the second time in recent years, the state was expected to shave the income tax by .05 percent, but the disappointing tax collections of the fall canceled that plan"

That explains the recent stories over the preceding months talking down the Massachusetts economy after talking it up for years, even though the cut amounted to 1/20th -- that's 1/20th -- of ONE CENT! They even want to keep the chump change crumbs. 

"Mass. tax revenues decline; budget trims loom; Looks for ways to curb spending; automatic cut in taxes ruled out" by Stephanie Ebbert  |  Globe Staff, November 26, 2012

Facing weaker than expected state tax revenues, Governor Deval Patrick’s administration has curbed state hiring, halted an automatic income tax reduction, and begun identifying cuts in spending that may be necessary to balance the budget.

Recent tax collections have been unexpectedly disappointing, failing to measure up to last year’s levels. In October, revenues were $162 million short of budgetary estimates and $48 million below the level reached in October 2011.

Then either you are being lied to so the state can keep its hands on $57 million, or you were lied to the whole time about the recovery that never was, Massachusetts citizens -- or both! 

State revenues are running $256 million behind budget and $33 million behind last year’s actual collection, officials said.

Together the numbers add to the picture of a slow economic recovery and portend a daunting start to the new year for a governor already struggling with a state drug lab crisis and a fatal meningitis outbreak traced to a Massachusetts compounding pharmacy.

Yeah, the poor governor and his problems regarding the tyranny emanating from the state drug lab and the meningitis murders. 

RelatedMass. loses its edge over US in economic growth

Mass. unemployment rate rises for third consecutive month

No single cause in state’s economic slowdown

Also seeBoston Globe Giving You the Business

Giving you something anyway.

The news is consistent with reports showing that the recovery, which had been on its way in Massachusetts, is slowing down.

Translation: agenda-pushing at work 

In recent months, the Massachusetts unemployment rate has climbed slightly and the state’s economic growth, which had been outpacing the nation, fell behind.

The dropoff in tax revenues is not dramatic, compared to the recent recession, but it is a disheartening trend in the wrong direction. After years of belt-tightening, fiscal observers were hoping to have more room to breathe in the coming year’s budget and to begin restoring some of the spending cuts that had been made to programs. Now they see no relief in sight....

Translation: there was no recovery, and we are in the depths of what history will call the Grand Depression and end of AmeriKan empire.

Ironically, the state had expected to issue an income tax reduction in January, which would have been triggered automatically by sustained growth. For only the second time in recent years, the state was expected to shave the income tax by .05 percent, but the disappointing tax collections of the fall canceled that plan....

Other uncertainties still remain.

The so-called “fiscal cliff” — the spending cuts and tax increases that would kick in if the president and Congress fail to reach consensus on federal debt reduction — threatens to send the nation into another recession and Massachusetts into a deeper problem....

Now it's the debt limit crisis. 

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"Patrick targets local aid to help cover budget gap; Says $540m shortfall makes cuts necessary" by Noah Bierman  |  Globe Staff, December 05, 2012

Governor Deval Patrick announced an array of state budget cuts to help cover a $540 million shortfall Tuesday, including a further reduction in the money local communities use to pay teachers and firefighters.

Patrick said the midyear budget gap is a direct result of the economic uncertainty caused by failed fiscal cliff negotiations, which could trigger federal spending cuts and tax increases at the start of the new year.

That's such a lie.

The cuts in the $32.5 billion budget, some of which need legislative approval, are expected to have a direct impact on residents. They include cuts of $9 million in local aid, $11 million in special education, $5 million in reimbursements for towns to bus homeless students, and across-the-board reductions in spending on the overburdened court system....

Less than half of the state’s shortfall would be closed by withdrawing $200 million from the state’s rainy day fund, which is expected to have about $1.2 billion left at the end of the budget year on June 30. The Patrick administration said the state would still have one of the biggest reserve funds in the country.

They are sitting on a billion bucks and talking about raising taxes and cutting spending?

Municipal leaders vowed to fight the $9 million local aid cut in the Legislature, noting that it comes on the heels of five tough budget years that brought $416 million in cuts.

And that was during an alleged recovery!

They said that the overall impact of Tuesday’s cuts on cities and towns will amount to $37.75 million. In addition, localities face a $20 million cut to the school building fund that was automatically triggered by weaker-than-expected sales tax collections.

Meaning there really never was a recovery, dear readers. 

Patrick cast the budget situation as serious, but not catastrophic. He said the state faced a gap that was six times larger during the height of the fiscal crunch in 2009. And he said the state would not need to raise taxes to fill the current void. But he continued to warn of a potential tax increase to cover longer-term problems in transportation, which lawmakers are expected to take up in the new year. “We’ve been here,” Patrick said at a news conference in the State House. “We know how to do this.”

(Blog editor cringes)

“I don’t think this is draconian,” he added. “We are spreading the pain as broadly as possible.” Though many programs will be taking small hits, Patrick’s budget chief, Jay Gonzalez, said Tuesday that his office would release $20 million to pay for an approximately 2 percent salary increase for 29,000 low-wage human services workers. The workers had been without a raise for five years and have been protesting outside the governor’s office. The money for the raise, though previously budgeted, had been frozen while Patrick devised a plan to fix the budget gap. 

I'll give you one guess who else got raises below. 

The state still expects to collect more in tax revenues this budget year than it did in the previous budget year. But a year ago, budget writers, in consultation with economists, pinned their revenue estimates on a more robust economy.

They are no better than you picking the football games, readers. 

They expected an economic growth rate of 3 percent, resulting in nearly $900 million more in tax collections than last year, for a total of $22 billion in tax collections. They are instead seeing a 1.9 percent economic growth rate, and now expect about $381 million more in tax collections than last year....

I've tuned them out, folks. Sorry. 

Patrick conceded that the state’s November tax collections — tabulated during a time of heightened anxiety over the fiscal cliff — were actually above projections. But he said state economists still believe the year will end with lower collections than originally forecast.....

Tired of the shovels of horse shit, guys.

The Massachusetts Municipal Association said it would ask lawmakers to take the $9 million out of the rainy day fund instead of risking losses to school budgets, public safety, and public works projects....

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Related: Weary officials brace for aid cuts

Mass. cities and towns must share the budget pain

Are you as tired as I am of that broken record? 

"Cuts to local governments hit economy" by Callum Borchers  |  Globe Staff, December 15, 2012

FALL RIVER — For decades, Billy’s Cafe in Fall River was a favorite watering hole for the city’s police officers. So when Fall River lost $2.9 million in aid from the state in 2009 — prompting the layoffs of 53 officers, almost a quarter of the force — the bar and restaurant known for chourico and chips lost many of its regulars.

Billy’s Cafe never recovered, according to owner Rachel Valente, and after 80 years in business, Billy’s will close on Dec. 31.

The shuttering of this local institution displays the ripple effects that budget cuts in local governments can have on the economy — effects that reach beyond the police, teachers, firefighters, and clerks who lose jobs. As private employment has rebounded over the past three years, struggling local governments have slashed jobs and boosted taxes across the country, offsetting private sector gains and slowing the US recovery, economists said.

Since the recession ended in 2009, local governments have eliminated nearly 500,000 jobs, including 10,000 in Massachusetts, even as private employers have steadily increased payrolls. The problem for the economy is not just more jobless workers on unemployment rolls, but also, as Billy’s Cafe shows, a reduction in consumer spending that supports many other jobs and businesses.

The mouthpiece media's mixed messages make me sick.

The effects of local government cuts on the broader economy are part of a long-running policy debate that has come to the forefront again in Massachusetts, where Governor Deval Patrick has proposed trimming aid to cities and towns to help close a $540 million budget gap, and in Washington, where political leaders are grappling with the so-called fiscal cliff and possibility of deep spending cuts.

At issue is how and when to tackle mounting deficits and whether the federal government should continue stimulus spending until the economy strengthens....

Local aid has been slashed by a third since 2009.

All so banks and corporations can cash taxpayer-funded subsidy checks, and the lawmakers can live their lavish political lifestyles. 

The relentless cost-cutting of recent years might seem harsh, but states have few options, said Gregory Daco, senior principal US economist at IHS Global Insight, a business information and analytics company based in Lexington. Unlike the federal government, most state and local governments can’t run deficits and are required by law to balance budgets.

“What you have to do is basically what states have been doing — hunker down and not spend more than what you can take in,” Daco said.

In Fall River, that meant eliminating 149 jobs, or about 5 percent, in 2009 and cutting the workweek to four days for City Hall employees. The city also increased taxes and fees in each of the past three years, helping it to restore some of the cuts and jobs. Employees returned to a five-day schedule, and the police department regained 36 of 53 positions cut.

But Patrick’s proposed local aid cuts could mean another setback, said Mayor William A. Flanagan. “It’s as if we were just starting to get our head above water and then they poured on more,” he said.

With the economy recovering slowly and unemployment rates still elevated, many economists have argued for additional stimulus over the past two years.

Proving that never worked as claimed.

They have said that one of the fastest ways to get the money into the economy is to increase aid to state and local governments to help avoid budget cuts and tax increases until things pick up.

How about leaving it with the taxpayer?

“A big part of what federal stimulus can do is help state and local governments — major employers — to bridge the gap to get out of this downturn,” said Robert Pollen, codirector of the Political Economy Research Institute at the University of Massachusetts Amherst.

In Washington, a key component of the debate over the fiscal cliff is whether to accept bigger short-term deficits until unemployment, 7.7 percent in November, declines significantly. Long-term deficits would be tackled after the economy strengthens. That is the strategy favored by President Obama.

Republicans, however, argue that deficits are out of control and the federal government, with more than $16 trillion in debt and climbing, must quickly address them soon, or risk the kind of financial and economic meltdown experienced in some European countries.

In Fall River, the city’s prospects have brightened since 2009. With finances stabilizing, businesses are increasingly willing to invest in the city.

Susan Dunse, a former Fall River teacher who was laid off in 2010, has invested her life’s savings in reopening Al Mac’s Diner, a once-popular haunt for city workers that also suffered from the budget cuts and closed earlier this year. Flanagan pointed to Al Mac’s as an encouraging sign but cautioned that with a new round of cuts, Fall River’s progress could prove illusory. “We’re on the road to recovery,” he said, “but any interruption can dramatically set us back.”

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"Patrick seeks higher health payments by retirees" by Michael Levenson  |  Globe Staff,  January 11, 2013

Most future state and municipal retirees would have to pay about $1,000 a year more for health care under an ambitious proposal that Governor Deval Patrick plans to unveil Friday in an effort to save up to $20 billion in health care costs over the next three decades.

Under the plan, most public ­employees would have to work until age 60, not 55, before they become eligible for health care benefits and would have to accrue 20 years of state or ­local service, up from the current 10.

The proposal marks another attempt by Patrick, a liberal Democrat, to negotiate a reduction in benefits for public employees in a heavily Democratic and labor-friendly state that has long protected such benefits amid an outcry from taxpayer groups. 

Yeah, thank the Lord we ain't Republican, right? 

Btw, the fraud is in the upper ranks and administration. The average state grunt is being asked to pay more because of them. 

Patrick is casting the changes as the next step needed to rein in unsustainable government costs, following changes in recent years to ­municipal health insurance policies and state pensions.

The governor argues that state and local governments cannot support the $40 billion they face in long-term health care costs for their retirees and that public employees must work longer for those benefits and pay more for them if the system is to be put on firmer financial ground.

Unions and retirees have traditionally resisted any curtailment in retirement benefits, making past attempts to overhaul the system politically treacherous.

Not anymore. There are new rules for unions in Massachusetts.

But the governor’s proposal is based on changes that labor and retiree groups developed on a commission with state and local officials over the last several months.

Three ranking Democratic and Republican state legislators also sat on the governor’s commission and support the changes, making it more likely the bill will win the support of top House and Senate leaders....

And labor is for it, too, so.... 

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Related: Nurses Association blasts Patrick’s retiree health plan

Oh, those nasty nurses!

"Mass. employers’ jobless costs may stand; Patrick plan aids business" by Megan Woolhouse  |  Globe Staff, January 09, 2013

Governor Deval Patrick proposed legislation Tuesday that would freeze the rate employers pay to fund unemployment benefits for the fourth year in a row and reduce the amount they must pay toward health care benefits for the unemployed. 

You workers see a double standard there?

The rate freeze, which stops a scheduled increase from going into effect, would save employers about $500 million this year, administration officials said.

But the legislation would also require employers to contribute to a new fund to help pay for subsidized health care for low-income residents. The rate would be lower than what employers now pay to provide health benefits for unemployed workers....

The last recession reduced the balance in the state trust fund that pays unemployment benefits., and under state law, rates go up automatically to replenish the fund. But the Legislature has approved the rate freeze in each of the past three years to help struggling businesses in a weak economy.

But they are f***ing you on the taxes and service cuts. 

Administration officials say the trust fund has sufficient money to continue the freeze. Employers currently pay an average of about $745 per employee a year, but that would increase 25 percent to $929 per employee without the freeze.

“You can let the rates go up and require employers to take an additional $500 million and bank that or let that money move through the economy to be invested and use that for hiring,” said John Regan, senior vice president for government relations at Associated Industries of Massachusetts, the state’s largest employer group. “In this economy, you want to have that money running around in the economy.”

As they are taking out of yours, taxpayers!

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And LOOK who GOT RAISES! 

"State House aides get raises; Human services workers protest" by Michael Levenson  |  Globe Staff, November 27, 2012

Legislative leaders quietly handed out pay raises to their staff last week, despite a looming budget crunch that has prompted Governor Deval Patrick to freeze pay raises for low-wage human services workers and weigh a new round of spending cuts.

House Speaker Robert A. DeLeo granted 3 percent raises to all 460 House employees for a total cost of $764,000, and Senate President Therese Murray gave 3 percent raises to a small handful of her direct staff. Those salary increases followed a 3 percent bump that Patrick gave to hundreds of non-union managers in July at a total cost of $10 million.

The latest raises — which the speaker and Senate president can grant at their own discretion ­­— immediately stirred outrage among human services workers who were told by the governor just last month that their 2 percent raises had been frozen because of dwindling tax revenues and a potential shortfall in the state budget.

And not just amongst them. 

The 29,000 workers, who care for the homeless and developmentally disabled, had already begun to protest at the State House on Monday when they learned that legislative staff members had been granted the 3 percent hike.

The workers earn $25,000 a year, on average, and have gone without an increase since 2008.

“There’s no sense of a shared sacrifice here,” said Michael D. Weekes, president and chief executive of the Providers’ Council, which advocates for the workers. “Why are the lowest-paid people taking it on the chin?”

That's Massachusetts!

DeLeo, a Winthrop Democrat, defended the pay hikes for House staff members, saying they had not seen an increase since September 2008.

They really don't get it, do they?

His office said the raises amount to 2 percent of the overall House budget, and no additional money will be needed to fund them.

RelatedA Slow Saturday Special: Statehouse Slush Fund 

Salaries for House employees range from $33,000 for legislative aides to $125,000 for the chamber’s chief lawyer, with the bulk of employees earning between $33,000 and $42,00 a year.

“When you consider that it’s been at least four years, and you’re talking about a 3 percent raise, something had to be done,” DeLeo said. “A lot of these folks are having difficulty that I hear from them and the reps paying their own bills now. So I consider it something we needed to do so they could continue to exist themselves.” 

(Blog editor is stunned at how myopic, narrow-minded, and self-centered are the political pigs on Beacon Hill)

DeLeo said the House has cut expenses and has trimmed its workforce to 460, down from 546 when he took over in January 2009. “So I don’t consider a 3 percent raise to be unreasonable,” he said.

The money, he said, will come from the existing $35 million House budget, which has increased in recent years.

We know! It's a SLUSH FUND so that BUDGET CUTS NEVER TOUCH THEM!

Murray’s office said she granted the 3 percent raise to staff members who work directly under her, although a spokesman refused to provide an exact number or a total cost. Individual senators can decide on their own whether to give their aides similar raises, Murray spokesman David Falcone said, adding that he was not sure which senators, if any, had done so.

Murray and DeLeo handed out the raises despite a worsening fiscal picture that has prompted Patrick to curtail state hiring and begin preparing spending cuts that may be necessary to balance the budget.

Recent tax collections have been unexpectedly weak....

And we know why!

The $20 million salary reserve for human services workers was among those spending items that the governor froze in anticipation of potential cuts. Patrick does not have authority over the pay raises for legislative staff.

On Monday, he said he was waiting to see what this month’s tax collections look like before deciding whether to release the salary money for human services workers.

But he doled out raises for his staff!

“We have all kinds of steps we’ve taken in anticipation of potential budget cuts, because revenue has slowed down, but we haven’t made any final decisions,” Patrick told reporters.

Motioning toward a group of direct-care workers who were gathered outside his office, protesting in matching yellow T-shirts, Patrick said: “We appreciate that you are here, but those decision aren’t made. This is, I think, a preemptive expression of concern.”

Not out there it isn't, governor a**hole! You don't back off if you might be one of those cut. 

Ann Sinawski, 54, who lives in Quincy and works at a Mattapan group home, was among those protesting the freezing of the salary money.

Sinawski said she earns $11.06 an hour to shower, feed, and care for four developmentally disabled women – “making sure, basically, that they’re happy and safe.”

But she said she has had to go to a food pantry for her own meals and she struggles to pay bills. “I have a very understanding landlord who lets me slide an extra week on the rent,” she said. “If I didn’t have that, I would have been evicted.”

Pay raises have not been uncommon on Beacon Hill, even during a time of budgetary worry. The 3 percent raise that Patrick gave managers in July came on top of a 3 percent bump in July 2011, when union workers received their own 3-percent increase.

I guess it is PRETTY EASY to GIVE AWAY MONEY when it is NOT YOURS!

Before that, managers had not gotten a pay increase since 2008, and many were forced to take furloughs in 2009 and 2010.

Auditor Suzanne M. Bump gave out raises of as much as 16 percent to her staff in June 2011.

See: The Audacious Auditor of Massachusetts

Have they no shame?

Bump said at the time that a study she commissioned found that her employees earn less on average than workers in comparable positions in government and private offices. Those raises cost $517,186 out of her office’s existing budget, she said.

Government gravy train, huh!?

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And now we are told they are taking a pay cut!

"State politicians face 1.8 percent pay reduction" by Stephanie Ebbert  |  Globe Staff, January 03, 2013

For the second time in ­recent years, state politicians face a pay cut, an automatic reduct­ion triggered by the declin­ing income of households in Massachusetts.

Then there never was or is a recovery. 

Members of the House and Senate will see a 1.8 percent drop in pay this year, as will the governor and lieutenant governor, treasurer, attorney general, auditor, and secretary of state. The governor’s salary is expected to drop to about $137,315.

The cut will reduce legislators’ base pay by about $1,100 to $60,032, effective Jan. 1, said Treasury spokesman Jon ­Carlisle. However, many legislators receive additional pay for serving in leadership positions or as committee chairmen. Those stipends, which range from $7,500 to $35,000 for the House speaker, will not be ­affected, Carlisle said.

The cuts will save more than $234,000, according to Carlisle. But as legislators’ salaries shrink, their aides’ pay is growing. House Speaker Robert A. DeLeo recently granted 3 percent raises to all 460 House ­employees for a total cost of $764,000, the Globe previously reported. Senate President Therese Murray also gave 3 percent raises to a handful of her direct staff.

It's not the amount so much as the act.

The latest pay cuts are the result of a 1998 constitutional amendment that tied legislators’ salaries to median household income. A 2007 law ­extended the measure to cover statewide office holders, as well, according to the Executive Office of Administration and ­Finance.

Their pay is now automatically adjusted every two years, based on a calculation by the governor’s administration. A letter Governor Deval Patrick sent to Treasurer Steven Grossman Wednesday said the new reduction was based on the US Census Bureau’s American Community Survey and reports of average weekly wages.

“This bears out the purpose and fairness of the constitutional amendment that the voters approved, by tying officials’ pay to what’s happening for other families in Massachusetts,” said Michael J. Widmer, president of the Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation. “This is a reflection of what’s happening in the larger economy.”

When the amendment was proposed, some tax-control ­activists had opposed it, fearing that regular pay adjustments would only rubber-stamp raises that legislators might otherwise find it politically unpalatable to award themselves. One such opponent, Citizens for Limited Taxation executive director ­Barbara Anderson, said she was surprised to learn of the pay reduc­tions.

“They’re going to get a cut?” she said Thursday. “Oh, good, so this time it’s working for us.”

Typically, Anderson said, the amendment has resulted in regular raises for legislators. It is, she said, “probably the only constitutionally guaranteed pay raises anywhere in the world. That is not what constitutions are for.”

Starting in 2010, however, the amendment resulted in a pay decrease for lawmakers, as the lasting effects of the recession were factored into the amendment equation. That year, legislative salaries were scaled back 0.5 percent, to $61,133. This year brought a larger reduction as the state grapples with continued sluggishness in the economy.

The automatic trigger does not entirely depoliticize raises, of course. In down times, lawmakers have faced political pressure to decline pay increases or donate them to charity. The constitutional amendment gives the governor some leeway on how to calculate household income.

Governor Mitt Romney’s ­administration calculated the rate in a way that some government observers viewed as suppressing legislative raises.

“I think that’s to the credit of the Patrick administration that they seem to be playing it straight,” said Anderson, adding, “It’s still a bad idea to have it in the constitution.”

Last month, the governor announced budget cuts to help cover a $540 million shortfall, including further reduction in community funding for teachers and firefighters.

But at the same time, the Patrick administration released $20 million for an approximately 2 percent raise for 29,000 ­human services workers who had been without a raise for five years.

In July, he gave nonunion managers a 3 percent bump, at a total cost of $10 million.

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And look who else is picking up a check and benefits at the expense of taxpayers:

"Governor’s Council still in eye of storm; Many, including critics, seek seats" by Eric Moskowitz  |  Globe Staff, September 03, 2012