Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Selecting a Senator: Voting Day

Breaking: Politico Poll: Brown 52, Coakley 43, Kennedy 2

Massachusetts Senate Poll

Scott Brown leads Martha Coakley 51-46 in our final Massachusetts Senate poll.... Over the last week Brown has continued his dominance with independents and increased his ability to win over Obama voters as Coakley's favorability numbers have declined into negative territory.

" “It’s an election, not a coronation.”

Coakley was "mailing it in" on the senatorial campaign trail, the official said, relating how in his own election, he had gone door-to-door "seven days a week" soliciting votes. After winning the Dec. 8 Democratic primary, however, Coakley seemed to shift into neutral, expecting to coast easily to victory in the general election. She even took a six-day vacation from campaigning in December....

Longtime Boston newspaper columnist Mike Barnicle stood on Hanover Street and shook his head when asked about Coakley. "I've never seen a worse campaign for a Democrat," said Barnicle, a liberal who is a regular commentator on MSNBC. "It's an election, not a coronation."

Coakley's aloof personality, disastrous gaffes and strategic miscalculations may become a convenient explanation if, as many Massachusetts political observers now expect, the Democrat loses Tuesday. If her defeat can be explained in strictly tactical terms -- a bad campaign by a clueless candidate -- then liberals can argue that the election is neither a negative referendum on the first year of the Obama administration nor a harbinger of dismal Democratic prospects in the November mid-terms."

Yeah, blame it all on Marty and stay in that protective bubble of denial.

It's the LIBERAL LION'S SEAT from Massachusetts, fer cripes sakes! Then again, maybe it SERVES TEDDY RIGHT!!

See: Mass. Hypocrisy in Full Flower

Yeah, maybe you SHOULDN'T HAVE PUSHED to CHANGE the 200-YEAR-OLD LAW, Ted, because Kerry allowed Bush to steal the election!

If you had LEFT IT ALONE then the Democrat Patrick would be making an appointment and there would BE NO SPECIAL ELECTION!

More:

All Polls Breaking for Republican Scott Brown

538 Model Posits Brown as 3:1 Favorite

The FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecasting Model, which correctly predicted the outcome of all 35 Senate races in 2008, now regards Republican Scott Brown as a 74 percent favorite to win the Senate seat in Massachusetts on the basis of new polling from ARG, Research 2000 and InsiderAdvantage which show worsening numbers for Brown's opponent, Martha Coakley.

Also:
For Coakley, ominous sign

Not even sure I will go and vote today. If I do it's for Joe Kennedy, and I resent the way I have been treated as a voter.


"All eyes on Bay State ballot; Brown, Coakley make final push before high-stakes election today" by Stephanie Ebbert and Donovan Slack and Jeannie Nuss, Globe Staff | Globe Correspondent | January 19, 2010

The tense race became downright ugly in its final days....

Even the third candidate in the race, independent Joe Kennedy - a wild card who shares a name but no relation with the political dynasty - has felt the heat from supporters of both major-party candidates, who fear he will siphon off crucial votes.

Hey, I think it is a Kennedy seat.

“We’ve been asked, begged, pleaded with, and told that we had to be removed from the ballot by just about every other human being - and that’s across the nation,’’ said Kennedy, 38, a Dedham Libertarian....

“It’s the first time in my life I feel like my vote matters in Massachusetts,’’ said Cravotta, a 58-year-old Republican.

Yeah, I know the feeling now.

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Related: Massachusetts has estimated 116K dead voters on its rolls

A new study of the nation's voter registration records finds 3.3 million dead voters are still on the rolls - including an estimated 116,483 in Massachusetts - while another 12.9 million who are ineligible also remain.

Updated: Brown up 5

"They hate Obama in Massachusetts - one of the most reliably Democratic States in the country This race has become a referendum on the Big Zero... The two candidates are mere pawns in the larger political drama." -- Wake the Flock Up

"Brown Supporters Call For Third Candidate Kennedy to Drop Out of Race

The third candidate in the heated Massachusetts U.S. Senate campaign is getting calls to drop out from supporters of Republican Scott Brown.

Joseph L. Kennedy, a Libertarian running as an independent, said Monday he's gotten tens of thousands of e-mails from Brown supporters telling him to back Brown. Kennedy, no relation to the late Sen. Edward Kennedy, said his campaign had to shut down its e-mail account....

Brown supporters are worried Kennedy will siphon critical support from Brown during Tuesday's election against Democrat Martha Coakley.

Are more people reading this blog than I am aware of or what?

And why did the Globe conceal this fact?

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That's why I'm resentful.

Like either one of those dink rubber stamps is going to make a difference.

If Coakley wins, well, Joe the Jew gets to be Senate gatekeeper another two years; and if Brown wins, they will work around him.

Related: Massachusetts Senate Election Being Rigged

Does it even matter?

"Democratic leaders may push Senate health care bill in House; Consider options to save legislation if Brown wins vote" by David M. Herszenhorn, New York Times | January 19, 2010

WASHINGTON - The White House and Democratic congressional leaders, scrambling for a backup plan to rescue their health care legislation if Republicans win the special election in Massachusetts today, have begun laying the groundwork to ask House Democrats to pass the Senate version of the bill, which would send the measure directly to President Obama for his signature.

A victory by Republican Scott Brown would deny Democrats the 60th vote they need in the Senate to surmount Republican filibusters and advance the health legislation. And with the race too close to call, Democrats are mulling several options to save the bill, which could be a major factor in how they fare in this year’s midterm elections.

Some Democrats suggested that even if their candidate, Martha Coakley, scrapes out a narrow victory today, they might need to ask House Democrats to speed the legislation to the president’s desk, especially if lawmakers who previously supported the bill begin to waver as they consider the political implications in a tough reelection cycle. It is unclear whether rank-and-file Democrats would go along.

Even as Democratic leaders pondered contingencies, the House speaker, Nancy Pelosi, insisted that the legislation would move forward, though she acknowledged that today’s election results could force a tactical shift.

“Certainly the dynamic will change depending on what happens in Massachusetts,’’ Pelosi told reporters in California yesterday. “Just the question of how we would proceed. But it doesn’t mean we won’t have a health care bill.’’

“Let’s remove all doubt,’’ she added. “We will have health care one way or another.’’

Still....

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Also see: Selecting a Senator: Going National With the Massachusetts Model