Sunday, October 26, 2008

How Obama Loses

Even as they tell you he should not.

Also see
: Stolen Elections: 2000

Stolen Elections: 2004

When you apply the criteria, the Republican nominee certainly does not have the prosperity leg on his side; meanwhile, the wars and occupations drag on negating the peace part of the puzzle. The only way McCain can win now is a steal -- no matter what happens in the next 9 days.

"Many reasons still for Obama to worry, and McCain to hope" by Scott Helman, Globe Staff | October 26, 2008

LEESBURG, Va. - There is an unmistakable sense among Obama's aides, many supporters, pundits, and people around the nation that, barring something dramatic, he will be the 44th president of the United States and its first African-American one.

But what has this presidential campaign been if not unpredictable? Republican John McCain was left for dead last year only to come roaring back to seize the GOP nomination.

And significant variables remain. Will latent racial bias quietly peel whites away from Obama on Election Day? Will the millions of newly engaged, newly registered voters actually cast ballots in big numbers? Will the small-but-influential group of undecided voters in key states break against Obama, as many did in the primaries? Will independents shift to McCain to avoid a Democratic monopoly in Washington?

They didn't seem to worried as the Republicans built the fascist state (and where was that BLOCKING MINORITY when Dems were in charge?)

Are the flock of polls that show Obama well ahead simply wrong, as polls sometimes are, and those that show a close or narrowing race on the mark?

More:

How to Rig the 2008 Presidential Election

Election Poll Update

AP Prepares Election Theft Narrative

Indeed, even as Obama, his campaign team, and his enthusiasts can smell victory, most are unwilling to give in to elation, fearful that Democrats will get burned again by some unknown cocktail of attack ads, errant polling, national security threats, and balloting problems on Nov. 4.

Overall, the trend lines for Obama are good, both on the ground and in the national mood. Polls show him leading McCain by significant margins in battleground states from Virginia to Colorado. Democrats enjoy sizable advantages in voter registration in key states such as Florida and Pennsylvania. Obama is benefiting from a surge in Democrats voting early. And surveys show that record numbers of Americans believe the country is headed in the wrong direction.

One that gets a lot of attention is the so-called Bradley effect - an unproven theory named for Tom Bradley, a black Los Angeles mayor who lost his 1982 gubernatorial bid despite polls suggesting that he would win handily - which holds that surveys can hide prejudices against black candidates. It is impossible to know whether this will have any bearing on Obama's candidacy, but an Associated Press-Yahoo News poll last month suggested that racial bias could cost Obama as much as 6 percentage points, and some supporters cite it as a concern.

Yeah, keep telling that LIE, MSM!

Another question is whether turnout will match the expectations of pollsters.

I'm sure the kids registered to not vote -- like every time! Pfft!

Most recent national polls show Obama with a lead between 5 and 15 percentage points, but a few last week showed a dead heat. There is no clear explanation for the difference.

Oh, I HAVE ONE!!

It is called PROVIDING the NARRATIVE before STEALING an ELECTION!!!

A big variable in all this are the undecided voters, who average about 6 percent of the electorate in national polls in the month of October and who form a pivotal bloc in close battleground states such as Florida and Indiana. Many undecided voters are white women, according to a recent Pew poll.

Translation: The remaining 6% of undecideds are HILLARY CLINTON RACISTS!!!

It is difficult to extrapolate too much from the primaries, but throughout the winter and spring, exit polling indicated that Obama had trouble closing the deal with undecided voters. One trend working in Obama's favor is that, when there is such dissatisfaction with the direction of the country, voters who make up their minds late tend to go with the challenger, pollsters say. --more--"

If Obama doesn't win in a LANDSLIDE -- because the WHOLE NATION is sick of the Bush/Clinton/McBush crime family -- then there will be NO DOUBT the FIX was IN!!

We are WATCHING, MSM!!!

Also see: The Fix Is In!